AI Match Insights

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Primera A May 25, 2025

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
21:00

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Deportivo Pasto Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.56 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bucaramanga Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 1-4
May 10 Bucaraman… vs Independi… 2-0
May 03 Bucaraman… vs Llaneros 2-1
Apr 28 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-2
Apr 20 Bucaraman… vs Union Mag… 1-1
Apr 17 Bucaraman… vs Envigado 1-0
Apr 14 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 4-0
Apr 06 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Mar 23 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-2
Mar 19 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 3-0
May 20 Deportivo… vs Independi… 2-0
May 18 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
May 17 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 0-2
May 14 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 1-0
May 11 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 2-0
May 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
May 05 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 3-3
May 04 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
May 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.