AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A May 19, 2025

Llaneros

Home
VS
23:00

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Llaneros Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Deportes Tolima Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.16 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Llaneros Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Llaneros vs Atlético … 2-1
May 03 Llaneros vs Bucaraman… 2-1
May 01 Llaneros vs Santa Fe 0-1
Apr 18 Llaneros vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Apr 07 Llaneros vs Rionegro … 1-2
Mar 24 Llaneros vs Deportes … 1-0
Dec 15 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 11 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 04 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-1
Nov 29 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 4-0
Deportes Tolima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Deportes … vs Independi… 0-1
May 09 Deportes … vs Union Mag… 3-1
May 03 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Apr 26 Deportes … vs La Equida… 2-1
Apr 20 Deportes … vs Envigado 3-1
Apr 16 Deportes … vs Junior 0-0
Apr 06 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Mar 24 Deportes … vs Llaneros 1-0
Feb 08 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 3-1
Feb 01 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Llaneros struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 24, 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Llaneros Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Llaneros Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Llaneros Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.