AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A May 09, 2025

Millonarios

Home
VS
00:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Deportivo Pasto Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.96 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Millonarios Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-2
Apr 17 Millonari… vs America d… 0-0
Apr 13 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-0
Mar 09 Millonari… vs Junior 2-1
Feb 16 Millonari… vs Independi… 0-1
Feb 01 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Dec 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Dec 03 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 30 Millonari… vs Atlético … 2-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 3-3
May 04 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
May 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Apr 30 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 3-0
Apr 27 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-0
Apr 27 Deportivo… vs Junior 1-0
Apr 22 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-0
Apr 20 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 1-0
Apr 15 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Apr 15 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 11, 2024 Millonarios 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
May 25, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 2 Millonarios Primera A
May 12, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 20, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Millonarios Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 23, 2023 Millonarios 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.