AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 21, 2025

Chico

Home
VS
23:00

Fortaleza FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Chico Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Fortaleza FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chico Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Fortaleza FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Chico Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Chico vs Atlético … 4-1
Apr 13 Chico vs Once Cald… 0-0
Mar 28 Chico vs America d… 3-0
Nov 15 Chico vs Millonari… 1-5
Nov 11 Chico vs Rionegro … 0-1
Oct 26 Chico vs Independi… 3-0
Oct 23 Chico vs Independi… 1-4
Oct 11 Chico vs Santa Fe 3-1
Oct 05 Chico vs America d… 0-2
Oct 02 Chico vs Rionegro … 1-0
Fortaleza FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Fortaleza… vs Llaneros 1-0
Apr 14 Fortaleza… vs Bucaraman… 4-0
Mar 26 Fortaleza… vs Alianza P… 0-0
Mar 09 Fortaleza… vs Santa Fe 2-0
Feb 23 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Nov 15 Fortaleza… vs Rionegro … 0-1
Nov 10 Fortaleza… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Sep 25 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 3-2
Sep 22 Fortaleza… vs Santa Fe 1-3
Sep 18 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chico struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Fortaleza FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chico Power 0
Fortaleza FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Chico Position

-8

Position Gap

11

Fortaleza FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.