AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 06, 2025

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
01:30

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bucaramanga Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (26%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 Deportes … vs Llaneros 1-0
Feb 08 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 3-1
Feb 01 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Dec 22 Deportes … vs Atlético … 2-0
Dec 19 Deportes … vs Atlético … 1-1
Dec 08 Deportes … vs Once Cald… 1-0
Dec 05 Deportes … vs Junior 3-2
Dec 01 Deportes … vs America d… 4-2
Nov 27 Deportes … vs America d… 1-0
Nov 25 Deportes … vs Junior 1-0
Bucaramanga Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-2
Mar 19 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Feb 18 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-0
Nov 17 Bucaraman… vs America d… 0-0
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-4
Nov 10 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Oct 31 Bucaraman… vs America d… 1-1
Oct 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Oct 18 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Oct 09 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 22, 2024 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.