AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 31, 2025

America de Cali

Home
VS
01:00

Fortaleza FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
America de Cali Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fortaleza FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.14 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
America de Cali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Fortaleza FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
America de Cali Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 America d… vs Chico 3-0
Mar 10 America d… vs Atlético … 1-0
Mar 07 America d… vs Junior 2-2
Dec 15 America d… vs Atlético … 0-0
Dec 13 America d… vs Atlético … 3-1
Dec 08 America d… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 04 America d… vs Once Cald… 3-0
Dec 01 America d… vs Deportes … 4-2
Nov 27 America d… vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 24 America d… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Fortaleza FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Fortaleza… vs Alianza P… 0-0
Mar 09 Fortaleza… vs Santa Fe 2-0
Feb 23 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Nov 15 Fortaleza… vs Rionegro … 0-1
Nov 10 Fortaleza… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Sep 25 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 3-2
Sep 22 Fortaleza… vs Santa Fe 1-3
Sep 18 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Sep 15 Fortaleza… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Sep 08 Fortaleza… vs Alianza P… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortaleza FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: America de Cali to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
America de Cali Power 0
Fortaleza FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

America de Cali Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Fortaleza FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.