AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 24, 2025

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
21:00

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Llaneros Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.60 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 3-1
Feb 01 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Dec 22 Deportes … vs Atlético … 2-0
Dec 19 Deportes … vs Atlético … 1-1
Dec 08 Deportes … vs Once Cald… 1-0
Dec 05 Deportes … vs Junior 3-2
Dec 01 Deportes … vs America d… 4-2
Nov 27 Deportes … vs America d… 1-0
Nov 25 Deportes … vs Junior 1-0
Nov 21 Deportes … vs Once Cald… 0-0
Llaneros Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 11 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 04 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-1
Nov 29 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 4-0
Nov 23 Llaneros vs Quindio 4-2
Nov 19 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 1-0
Nov 14 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 1-0
Nov 09 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 2-0
Nov 04 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 5-1
Oct 30 Llaneros vs Quindio 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.