AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 16, 2025

Millonarios

Home
VS
19:00

Rionegro Aguilas

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Rionegro Aguilas Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.74 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Rionegro Aguilas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Millonarios Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Millonari… vs Junior 2-1
Feb 16 Millonari… vs Independi… 0-1
Feb 01 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Dec 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Dec 03 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 30 Millonari… vs Atlético … 2-1
Nov 27 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Nov 20 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Nov 15 Millonari… vs Chico 1-5
Rionegro Aguilas Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Rionegro … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Nov 15 Rionegro … vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Nov 11 Rionegro … vs Chico 0-1
Nov 02 Rionegro … vs Deportes … 0-1
Oct 29 Rionegro … vs Deportivo… 3-1
Oct 14 Rionegro … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Oct 06 Rionegro … vs Santa Fe 0-0
Oct 02 Rionegro … vs Chico 1-0
Sep 19 Rionegro … vs Chico 2-1
Aug 06 Rionegro … vs Atlético … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rionegro Aguilas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Rionegro Aguilas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-5

Position Gap

13

Rionegro Aguilas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.