AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 14, 2025

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Deportivo Pasto Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Bucaramanga Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-0
Nov 17 Bucaraman… vs America d… 0-0
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-4
Nov 10 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Oct 31 Bucaraman… vs America d… 1-1
Oct 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Oct 18 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Oct 09 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 02 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Sep 28 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 0-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Feb 23 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-1
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Dec 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.