AI Match Insights
Primera A Mar 10, 2025
Atlético Nacional
HomeVS
00:45
America de Cali
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
Draw
America de Cali Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
America de Cali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Atlético Nacional Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | Atlético … vs Deportes … | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Atlético … vs Deportes … | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Atlético … vs America d… | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Atlético … vs America d… | 3-1 |
| Dec 09 | Atlético … vs Santa Fe | 0-3 |
| Dec 05 | Atlético … vs Deportivo… | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Atlético … vs Millonari… | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Atlético … vs Millonari… | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Atlético … vs Deportivo… | 0-1 |
| Nov 21 | Atlético … vs Santa Fe | 5-0 |
America de Cali Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 07 | America d… vs Junior | 2-2 |
| Dec 15 | America d… vs Atlético … | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | America d… vs Atlético … | 3-1 |
| Dec 08 | America d… vs Junior | 1-0 |
| Dec 04 | America d… vs Once Cald… | 3-0 |
| Dec 01 | America d… vs Deportes … | 4-2 |
| Nov 27 | America d… vs Deportes … | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | America d… vs Once Cald… | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | America d… vs Junior | 1-0 |
| Nov 17 | America d… vs Bucaraman… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | America de Cali | 0 - 0 | Atlético Nacional | Copa Colombia |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Atlético Nacional | 3 - 1 | America de Cali | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Atlético Nacional | 2 - 1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| Jun 07, 2024 | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | Atlético Nacional | Liga Femenina |
| Jan 28, 2024 | America de Cali | 4 - 1 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 30, 2023 | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atlético Nacional | 1 - 0 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 24, 2023 | America de Cali | 4 - 1 | Atlético Nacional | Primera A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power
0
America de Cali Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Atlético Nacional Position-2
Position Gap4
America de Cali Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.