AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 09, 2025

La Equidad FC

Home
VS
01:30

Independiente Medellin

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Independiente Medellin Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.45 - 1.03
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
La Equidad FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 4-3
Nov 11 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Oct 20 La Equida… vs America d… 2-2
Oct 06 La Equida… vs Independi… 0-0
Oct 02 La Equida… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 28 La Equida… vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Sep 26 La Equida… vs America d… 2-0
Aug 10 La Equida… vs Deportes … 5-1
Jul 23 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Jun 10 La Equida… vs Junior 4-3
Independiente Medellin Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Feb 16 Independi… vs Millonari… 0-1
Feb 09 Independi… vs Envigado 0-1
Nov 18 Independi… vs Atlético … 1-0
Nov 15 Independi… vs Envigado 1-0
Nov 11 Independi… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 01 Independi… vs Atlético … 2-0
Oct 26 Independi… vs Chico 3-0
Oct 23 Independi… vs Chico 1-4
Oct 15 Independi… vs America d… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2024 Independiente Medel… 0 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Mar 23, 2024 La Equidad FC 1 - 2 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Jul 15, 2023 Independiente Medel… 2 - 2 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 16, 2023 La Equidad FC 2 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Aug 05, 2022 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power 0
Independiente Medellin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

La Equidad FC Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Independiente Medellin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.