AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 08, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
23:20

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Llaneros Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Feb 23 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-1
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Dec 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Llaneros Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 11 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-0
Dec 04 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 1-1
Nov 29 Llaneros vs Union Mag… 4-0
Nov 23 Llaneros vs Quindio 4-2
Nov 19 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 1-0
Nov 14 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 1-0
Nov 09 Llaneros vs Orsomarso 2-0
Nov 04 Llaneros vs Real Cart… 5-1
Oct 30 Llaneros vs Quindio 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.