AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 23, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
23:10

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Millonarios Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.37 - 0.85
Key Insights
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 0-1 (25%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (11%) 1-1 (9%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-1
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Dec 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Patriotas… 3-2
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-0
Millonarios Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Millonari… vs Independi… 0-1
Feb 01 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Dec 09 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Dec 03 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 30 Millonari… vs Atlético … 2-1
Nov 27 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Nov 20 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Nov 15 Millonari… vs Chico 1-5
Nov 11 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Dec 09, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Deportivo Pasto to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.