AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 15, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
00:30

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Bucaramanga Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.74
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 0-1 (26%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-1
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Dec 09 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Patriotas… 3-2
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-0
Bucaramanga Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Bucaraman… vs America d… 0-0
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-4
Nov 10 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Oct 31 Bucaraman… vs America d… 1-1
Oct 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Oct 18 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Oct 09 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 02 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Sep 28 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 0-1
Sep 01 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.