AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Oct 10, 2025

Newport City

Home
VS
18:30

Trethomas Bluebirds

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Newport City Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Trethomas Bluebirds Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.85 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Trethomas Bluebirds Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Newport City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Newport C… vs Carmarthe… 1-0
Sep 12 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 1-3
Sep 05 Newport C… vs Cambrian … 2-1
Aug 25 Newport C… vs Cwmbran C… 1-1
Aug 22 Newport C… vs Ynyshir A… 1-1
Aug 17 Newport C… vs Baglan Dr… 3-3
Aug 09 Newport C… vs Trefelin 0-2
Aug 02 Newport C… vs Haverford… 5-0
Jul 25 Newport C… vs Afan Lido 1-0
Jul 20 Newport C… vs Baglan Dr… 2-0
Trethomas Bluebirds Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Trethomas… vs Ammanford… 1-1
Sep 26 Trethomas… vs Cwmbran C… 2-2
Sep 13 Trethomas… vs Ynyshir A… 4-1
Sep 06 Trethomas… vs Llantwit … 2-1
Aug 25 Trethomas… vs Treowen S… 1-1
Aug 22 Trethomas… vs Afan Lido 3-2
Aug 15 Trethomas… vs Cambrian … 0-5
Aug 08 Trethomas… vs Caerau (E… 1-1
Aug 01 Trethomas… vs Briton Fe… 3-0
Jul 25 Trethomas… vs Trefelin 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 03, 2025 Newport City 1 - 2 Trethomas Bluebirds FAW Championsh…
Nov 01, 2024 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 - 1 Newport City FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Newport City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport City Power 0
Trethomas Bluebirds Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.