AI Match Insights

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FAW Championship Sep 05, 2025

Ammanford AFC

Home
VS
18:30

Caerau (Ely)

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Ammanford AFC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Caerau (Ely) Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 0.55
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Ammanford AFC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Ammanford… vs Aberystwy… 0-0
Aug 22 Ammanford… vs Treowen S… 1-0
Aug 16 Ammanford… vs Ynyshir A… 0-0
Aug 08 Ammanford… vs Llantwit … 2-1
Jul 26 Ammanford… vs Cardiff D… 0-1
Jul 19 Ammanford… vs Cardiff C… 0-0
Apr 12 Ammanford… vs Baglan Dr… 1-1
Apr 05 Ammanford… vs Penrhiwce… 1-1
Mar 28 Ammanford… vs Goytre Un… 1-2
Mar 21 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 1-2
Caerau (Ely) Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Caerau (E… vs Pontyprid… 2-0
Aug 22 Caerau (E… vs Baglan Dr… 1-0
Aug 16 Caerau (E… vs Cardiff D… 0-1
Aug 08 Caerau (E… vs Trethomas… 1-1
Jul 26 Caerau (E… vs Ynyshir A… 1-4
Jul 18 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 3-4
Apr 12 Caerau (E… vs Cambrian … 0-2
Apr 05 Caerau (E… vs Llantwit … 1-0
Mar 28 Caerau (E… vs Penrhiwce… 0-1
Feb 21 Caerau (E… vs Trethomas… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Caerau (Ely) in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2025 Caerau (Ely) 2 - 1 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Nov 08, 2024 Ammanford AFC 0 - 2 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Mar 29, 2024 Ammanford AFC 1 - 1 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Aug 12, 2023 Caerau (Ely) 1 - 2 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ammanford AFC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.