AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Aug 25, 2025

Buckley Town

Home
VS
13:30

Flint Mountain

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Buckley Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Flint Mountain Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.44 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Buckley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Flint Mountain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Buckley Town Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Buckley T… vs Guilsfield 1-2
Aug 15 Buckley T… vs Ruthin To… 3-2
Aug 09 Buckley T… vs Brickfiel… 4-0
Aug 02 Buckley T… vs Newtown A… 2-3
Jul 26 Buckley T… vs Airbus UK 0-3
Jul 18 Buckley T… vs Holyhead … 4-0
Apr 12 Buckley T… vs Mold Alex… 3-1
Apr 04 Buckley T… vs Ruthin To… 0-0
Apr 01 Buckley T… vs Mold Alex… 1-2
Mar 29 Buckley T… vs Llandudno 2-3
Flint Mountain Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Flint Mou… vs Gresford … 4-4
Aug 16 Flint Mou… vs Newtown A… 3-1
Aug 08 Flint Mou… vs Llandudno 4-0
Jul 26 Flint Mou… vs Holywell 2-1
Jul 18 Flint Mou… vs Denbigh T… 1-3
Apr 12 Flint Mou… vs Holywell 1-1
Apr 04 Flint Mou… vs Guilsfield 1-5
Mar 29 Flint Mou… vs Penrhynco… 5-1
Mar 21 Flint Mou… vs Airbus UK 1-2
Mar 07 Flint Mou… vs Llandudno 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Buckley Town struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Flint Mountain struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2024 Flint Mountain 3 - 4 Buckley Town FAW Championsh…
Aug 17, 2024 Buckley Town 2 - 1 Flint Mountain FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Buckley Town Power 0
Flint Mountain Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Buckley Town Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Flint Mountain Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.