AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Aug 22, 2025

Denbigh Town

Home
VS
18:30

Mold Alexandra

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Denbigh Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Mold Alexandra Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.85 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.8 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Denbigh Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Mold Alexandra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Denbigh Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 0-5
Aug 08 Denbigh T… vs Holywell 1-2
Aug 02 Denbigh T… vs Rhyl 2-2
Jul 25 Denbigh T… vs Caersws 3-2
Jul 18 Denbigh T… vs Flint Mou… 1-3
Apr 12 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 3-3
Apr 04 Denbigh T… vs Llay Mine… 5-0
Mar 28 Denbigh T… vs Colwyn Bay 1-0
Feb 22 Denbigh T… vs Ruthin To… 1-1
Feb 18 Denbigh T… vs Flint Mou… 0-2
Mold Alexandra Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Mold Alex… vs Holyhead … 1-1
Aug 09 Mold Alex… vs Caersws 0-2
Jul 26 Mold Alex… vs Penrhynco… 2-2
Jul 18 Mold Alex… vs Guilsfield 3-0
Apr 12 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 3-1
Apr 05 Mold Alex… vs Airbus UK 1-1
Apr 01 Mold Alex… vs Buckley T… 1-2
Mar 29 Mold Alex… vs Bangor 18… 6-1
Mar 08 Mold Alex… vs Holywell 1-0
Feb 21 Mold Alex… vs Flint Mou… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2024 Denbigh Town 1 - 1 Mold Alexandra FAW Championsh…
Aug 10, 2024 Mold Alexandra 2 - 1 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Dec 16, 2023 Mold Alexandra 2 - 0 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Nov 03, 2023 Denbigh Town 3 - 2 Mold Alexandra FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Denbigh Town to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Denbigh Town Power 0
Mold Alexandra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Denbigh Town Position

+8

Position Gap

14

Mold Alexandra Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.