AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Aug 09, 2025

Aberystwyth Town

Home
VS
13:30

Baglan Dragons

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aberystwyth Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Baglan Dragons Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.66
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberystwyth Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Baglan Dragons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 0-1 (25%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Aberystwyth Town Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Aberystwy… vs Bala Town 2-1
Jul 26 Aberystwy… vs Llantwit … 1-2
Apr 19 Aberystwy… vs GAP Conna… 1-1
Apr 12 Aberystwy… vs Newtown A… 2-3
Mar 28 Aberystwy… vs Flint Tow… 1-2
Mar 21 Aberystwy… vs Briton Fe… 0-1
Mar 11 Aberystwy… vs Bala Town 2-1
Mar 07 Aberystwy… vs GAP Conna… 3-0
Feb 28 Aberystwy… vs The New S… 0-1
Feb 22 Aberystwy… vs Newtown A… 0-1
Baglan Dragons Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Baglan Dr… vs Pontyprid… 3-0
Jul 20 Baglan Dr… vs Newport C… 2-0
Apr 12 Baglan Dr… vs Ammanford… 1-1
Apr 05 Baglan Dr… vs Caernarfo… 1-1
Mar 29 Baglan Dr… vs Cwmbran C… 0-2
Mar 08 Baglan Dr… vs Llantwit … 0-1
Mar 01 Baglan Dr… vs Trethomas… 2-0
Feb 08 Baglan Dr… vs Afan Lido 1-1
Dec 26 Baglan Dr… vs Trefelin 1-2
Nov 30 Baglan Dr… vs Llantwit … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aberystwyth Town to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberystwyth Town Power 0
Baglan Dragons Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.