AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Oct 05, 2025

Austin

Home
VS
00:30

St. Louis City SC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Austin Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
St. Louis City SC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.52 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Austin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Austin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Austin vs Nashville… 1-2
Sep 28 Austin vs Real Salt… 3-1
Sep 21 Austin vs Seattle S… 2-1
Sep 14 Austin vs FC Dallas 2-0
Sep 09 Austin vs Bosnia & … 1-2
Sep 07 Austin vs Sporting … 1-2
Sep 06 Austin vs Cyprus 1-0
Aug 31 Austin vs San Jose … 3-1
Aug 23 Austin vs Montréal … 3-2
Aug 17 Austin vs FC Dallas 1-1
St. Louis City SC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 St. Louis… vs Los Angel… 0-3
Sep 21 St. Louis… vs San Jose … 1-3
Sep 13 St. Louis… vs Montréal … 0-2
Sep 07 St. Louis… vs FC Dallas 1-1
Aug 31 St. Louis… vs Houston D… 2-3
Aug 24 St. Louis… vs Vancouver… 3-2
Aug 17 St. Louis… vs Chicago F… 3-2
Aug 10 St. Louis… vs Nashville… 3-1
Jul 27 St. Louis… vs Minnesota… 1-2
Jul 20 St. Louis… vs FC Dallas 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Austin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Austin to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Austin Power 0
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.