AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Jul 20, 2025

Sporting San Jose

Home
VS
00:30

New York City FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sporting San Jose Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
New York City FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.23 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
New York City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Sporting San Jose Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Sporting … vs Seattle S… 2-3
Jul 05 Sporting … vs Colorado … 1-2
Jun 29 Sporting … vs Real Salt… 1-1
Jun 26 Sporting … vs Charlotte 2-1
Jun 15 Sporting … vs FC Dallas 2-4
Jun 09 Sporting … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Jun 01 Sporting … vs Houston D… 1-3
May 08 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 1-2
May 03 Sporting … vs Inter San… 1-0
Apr 21 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 0-0
New York City FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 New York … vs Orlando C… 1-2
Jul 13 New York … vs Charlotte 2-0
Jul 03 New York … vs Toronto FC 3-1
Jun 28 New York … vs Montréal … 1-0
Jun 12 New York … vs Atalanta 4-0
May 31 New York … vs Nashville… 2-2
May 28 New York … vs Houston D… 0-3
Mar 02 New York … vs Los Angel… 1-0
Nov 23 New York … vs New York … 0-2
Nov 09 New York … vs FC Cincin… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • New York City FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting San Jose to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting San Jose Power 0
New York City FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.