AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer May 04, 2025

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
VS
02:30

Portland Timbers

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
San Jose Earthquakes Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Portland Timbers Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.41 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Portland Timbers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
San Jose Earthquakes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 2-1
Mar 23 San Jose … vs Charlotte 4-1
Feb 01 San Jose … vs Monterrey 0-3
Jan 25 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 1-1
Oct 20 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Aug 14 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 4-1
Jun 23 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 6-2
May 22 San Jose … vs Sacrament… 4-3
May 08 San Jose … vs Oakland R… 1-0
May 04 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Portland Timbers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Portland … vs Los Angel… 3-3
Feb 12 Portland … vs San Diego 3-0
Jan 29 Portland … vs Los Angel… 1-0
Oct 24 Portland … vs Vancouver… 5-0
Oct 20 Portland … vs Seattle S… 1-1
Oct 06 Portland … vs FC Dallas 0-0
Aug 25 Portland … vs St. Louis… 4-4
Aug 10 Portland … vs St. Louis… 3-1
Jun 09 Portland … vs St. Louis… 0-0
Apr 28 Portland … vs Los Angel… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • San Jose Earthquakes struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: San Jose Earthquakes to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
San Jose Earthquakes Power 0
Portland Timbers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.