AI Match Insights

Major League Soccer Apr 13, 2025

Los Angeles FC

Home
VS
02:30

San Jose Earthquakes

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Los Angeles FC Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
San Jose Earthquakes Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.36 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Los Angeles FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
San Jose Earthquakes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Los Angeles FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Los Angel… vs Austin 0-1
Jan 29 Los Angel… vs Portland … 1-0
Jan 25 Los Angel… vs San Jose … 1-1
Dec 07 Los Angel… vs New York … 2-1
Dec 01 Los Angel… vs Seattle S… 1-0
Nov 24 Los Angel… vs Minnesota… 6-2
Nov 24 Los Angel… vs Seattle S… 1-2
Nov 09 Los Angel… vs Vancouver… 1-0
Nov 04 Los Angel… vs Vancouver… 3-0
Nov 02 Los Angel… vs Colorado … 1-4
San Jose Earthquakes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 San Jose … vs Monterrey 0-3
Jan 25 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 1-1
Oct 20 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Aug 14 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 4-1
Jun 23 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 6-2
May 22 San Jose … vs Sacrament… 4-3
May 08 San Jose … vs Oakland R… 1-0
May 04 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Jul 09 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 1-1
May 21 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Los Angeles FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • San Jose Earthquakes struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2025 Los Angeles FC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Friendlies Clu…
Oct 20, 2024 Los Angeles FC 3 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
Aug 14, 2024 Los Angeles FC 4 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Leagues Cup
Jun 23, 2024 Los Angeles FC 6 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
May 04, 2024 San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC Major League S…
Jul 09, 2023 Los Angeles FC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
May 21, 2023 Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
May 06, 2023 San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Los Angeles FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Los Angeles FC Power 0
San Jose Earthquakes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.