AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Mar 30, 2025

St. Louis City SC

Home
VS
18:15

Austin

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
St. Louis City SC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Austin Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.43 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Austin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
St. Louis City SC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 St. Louis… vs Minnesota… 4-1
Aug 25 St. Louis… vs Portland … 4-4
Aug 10 St. Louis… vs Portland … 3-1
Jun 09 St. Louis… vs Portland … 0-0
Apr 14 St. Louis… vs Austin 1-0
Mar 10 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-2
Aug 21 St. Louis… vs Austin 6-3
Apr 30 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Mar 12 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Feb 26 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-3
Austin Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Austin vs Serbia 2-0
Mar 20 Austin vs Serbia 1-1
Mar 15 Austin vs Los Angel… 0-1
Feb 01 Austin vs Louisvill… 3-1
Oct 20 Austin vs Colorado … 3-2
Sep 19 Austin vs Los Angel… 1-1
Aug 08 Austin vs Los Angel… 2-0
Jul 07 Austin vs New York … 2-1
Jul 02 Austin vs Turkey 1-2
Jun 25 Austin vs Netherlan… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Austin in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 14, 2024 St. Louis City SC 1 - 0 Austin Major League S…
Mar 10, 2024 Austin 2 - 2 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Aug 21, 2023 St. Louis City SC 6 - 3 Austin Major League S…
Feb 26, 2023 Austin 2 - 3 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Louis City SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Austin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.