AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Mar 23, 2025

Charlotte

Home
VS
23:30

San Jose Earthquakes

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Charlotte Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
San Jose Earthquakes Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.07 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charlotte Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
San Jose Earthquakes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Charlotte Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Charlotte vs Orlando C… 1-1
Nov 01 Charlotte vs Orlando C… 0-0
Oct 27 Charlotte vs Orlando C… 2-0
Oct 20 Charlotte vs DC United 0-3
Feb 10 Charlotte vs San Jose … 0-1
Feb 10 Charlotte vs San Jose … 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 San Jose … vs Monterrey 0-3
Jan 25 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 1-1
Oct 20 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Aug 14 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 4-1
Jun 23 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 6-2
May 22 San Jose … vs Sacrament… 4-3
May 08 San Jose … vs Oakland R… 1-0
May 04 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 3-1
Feb 10 San Jose … vs Charlotte 0-1
Feb 10 San Jose … vs Charlotte 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • San Jose Earthquakes struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2024 San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Charlotte Friendlies Clu…
Feb 10, 2024 Charlotte 1 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Charlotte to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charlotte Power 0
San Jose Earthquakes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.