AI Match Insights

Major League Soccer Mar 16, 2025

Sporting San Jose

Home
VS
00:15

Minnesota United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sporting San Jose Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Minnesota United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.94 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Minnesota United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sporting San Jose Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 2-0
Feb 02 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Jan 21 Sporting … vs Inter San… 0-1
Jan 17 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 1-1
Jan 12 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Dec 01 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 6-2
Nov 11 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 0-1
Oct 27 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 1-3
Oct 20 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 20 Sporting … vs FC Dallas 2-1
Minnesota United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Minnesota… vs Los Angel… 6-2
Nov 03 Minnesota… vs Real Salt… 1-1
Oct 30 Minnesota… vs Real Salt… 0-0
Oct 20 Minnesota… vs St. Louis… 4-1
Aug 24 Minnesota… vs Seattle S… 2-3
Jul 27 Minnesota… vs Seattle S… 2-0
Jun 16 Minnesota… vs Seattle S… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting San Jose to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting San Jose Power 0
Minnesota United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.