AI Match Insights

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Primera División Sep 27, 2025

Independiente Petrolero

Home
VS
19:00

Real Tomayapo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Independiente Petrolero Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Real Tomayapo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.65 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Petrolero Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Real Tomayapo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Independiente Petrolero Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 Independi… vs Real Toma… 3-3
Dec 04 Independi… vs Real Toma… 2-1
Aug 08 Independi… vs Real Toma… 3-2
Nov 24 Independi… vs Real Toma… 2-1
May 28 Independi… vs Real Toma… 0-3
Oct 21 Independi… vs Real Toma… 1-0
Real Tomayapo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Real Toma… vs Always Re… 1-2
Sep 19 Real Toma… vs Aurora 1-2
Sep 12 Real Toma… vs Universit… 1-0
Aug 22 Real Toma… vs ABB 2-1
Aug 10 Real Toma… vs Bolívar 5-0
Aug 03 Real Toma… vs Gualberto… 2-1
Jul 27 Real Toma… vs The Stron… 3-3
Jul 22 Real Toma… vs Nacional … 0-1
Jul 17 Real Toma… vs Real Oruro 1-1
Jul 12 Real Toma… vs The Stron… 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Petrolero struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Real Tomayapo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Real Tomayapo 3 - 3 Independiente Petro… Primera Divisi…
Dec 04, 2024 Independiente Petro… 2 - 1 Real Tomayapo Primera Divisi…
Aug 08, 2024 Real Tomayapo 3 - 2 Independiente Petro… Primera Divisi…
Nov 24, 2023 Real Tomayapo 2 - 1 Independiente Petro… Primera Divisi…
May 28, 2023 Independiente Petro… 0 - 3 Real Tomayapo Primera Divisi…
Oct 21, 2022 Independiente Petro… 1 - 0 Real Tomayapo Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente Petrolero to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Petrolero Power 0
Real Tomayapo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.