AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Oct 14, 2025

Sporting San Miguelito

Home
VS
01:30

UMECIT

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sporting San Miguelito Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
UMECIT Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.36 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting San Miguelito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
UMECIT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Sporting San Miguelito Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Sporting … vs Herrera 1-3
Oct 03 Sporting … vs Xelajú 2-1
Sep 28 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 0-0
Sep 25 Sporting … vs Xelajú 2-0
Sep 20 Sporting … vs San Franc… 0-1
Sep 14 Sporting … vs SD Atleti… 1-1
Sep 07 Sporting … vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 02 Sporting … vs Veraguas 0-0
Aug 29 Sporting … vs Real Espa… 4-0
Aug 22 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 2-0
UMECIT Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 UMECIT vs Independi… 0-1
Sep 30 UMECIT vs Veraguas 1-1
Sep 23 UMECIT vs Herrera 1-0
Sep 13 UMECIT vs Deportivo… 2-0
Sep 06 UMECIT vs San Franc… 0-0
Aug 31 UMECIT vs SD Atleti… 2-0
Aug 19 UMECIT vs Alianza FC 2-0
Aug 10 UMECIT vs Tauro FC 1-1
Aug 05 UMECIT vs Plaza Ama… 0-2
Jul 29 UMECIT vs CD Arabe … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting San Miguelito in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 22, 2025 UMECIT 0 - 1 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Mar 30, 2025 UMECIT 0 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Aug 24, 2024 Sporting San Miguel… 1 - 1 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Feb 24, 2024 UMECIT 1 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Sep 03, 2023 UMECIT 0 - 1 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Mar 18, 2023 Sporting San Miguel… 0 - 0 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting San Miguelito Power 0
UMECIT Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sporting San Miguelito Position

-4

Position Gap

1

UMECIT Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.