AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Aug 12, 2025

Veraguas

Home
VS
01:30

Independiente de La Chorrera

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Veraguas Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Independiente de La Chorrera Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.02 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Veraguas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Independiente de La Chorrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Veraguas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Veraguas vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jul 27 Veraguas vs SD Atleti… 0-2
Jul 19 Veraguas vs Herrera 4-1
May 10 Veraguas vs Herrera 3-0
May 03 Veraguas vs Deportivo… 2-2
Apr 27 Veraguas vs UMECIT 2-0
Apr 12 Veraguas vs Independi… 2-3
Apr 05 Veraguas vs San Franc… 4-0
Mar 29 Veraguas vs Tauro FC 2-4
Mar 22 Veraguas vs Costa del… 1-0
Independiente de La Chorrera Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Independi… vs CD Motagua 2-1
Aug 02 Independi… vs San Franc… 3-2
Jul 26 Independi… vs Herrera 3-0
Jul 19 Independi… vs Deportivo… 3-2
May 15 Independi… vs Tauro FC 0-0
May 10 Independi… vs UMECIT 1-1
May 03 Independi… vs Herrera 3-2
Apr 26 Independi… vs San Franc… 1-1
Apr 12 Independi… vs Veraguas 2-3
Apr 05 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente de La Chorrera struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Independiente de La… 2 - 3 Veraguas Liga Panameña …
Feb 11, 2025 Veraguas 0 - 1 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Veraguas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Veraguas Power 0
Independiente de La Chorrera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Veraguas Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Independiente de La Chorrera Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.