AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Jul 22, 2025

UMECIT

Home
VS
01:30

Sporting San Miguelito

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
UMECIT Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sporting San Miguelito Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.30 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UMECIT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sporting San Miguelito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
UMECIT Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 UMECIT vs Independi… 1-1
May 03 UMECIT vs San Franc… 2-0
Apr 27 UMECIT vs Veraguas 2-0
Apr 15 UMECIT vs Deportivo… 0-2
Apr 06 UMECIT vs Herrera 2-1
Mar 30 UMECIT vs Sporting … 0-0
Mar 23 UMECIT vs Tauro FC 4-2
Mar 16 UMECIT vs Plaza Ama… 1-1
Mar 09 UMECIT vs CD Arabe … 0-1
Feb 27 UMECIT vs Costa del… 2-1
Sporting San Miguelito Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Sporting … vs San Franc… 1-2
May 11 Sporting … vs Plaza Ama… 0-1
May 04 Sporting … vs Alianza FC 2-0
Apr 29 Sporting … vs Costa del… 3-3
Apr 13 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 1-0
Apr 06 Sporting … vs Tauro FC 0-1
Mar 30 Sporting … vs UMECIT 0-0
Mar 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 15 Sporting … vs San Franc… 0-1
Mar 09 Sporting … vs Independi… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • UMECIT struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 UMECIT 0 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Aug 24, 2024 Sporting San Miguel… 1 - 1 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Feb 24, 2024 UMECIT 1 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Sep 03, 2023 UMECIT 0 - 1 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Mar 18, 2023 Sporting San Miguel… 0 - 0 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: UMECIT to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UMECIT Power 0
Sporting San Miguelito Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

UMECIT Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Sporting San Miguelito Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.