AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol May 04, 2025

Sporting San Miguelito

Home
VS
01:00

Alianza FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sporting San Miguelito Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Alianza FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.44 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting San Miguelito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Alianza FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Sporting San Miguelito Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Sporting … vs Costa del… 3-3
Apr 13 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 1-0
Apr 06 Sporting … vs Tauro FC 0-1
Mar 30 Sporting … vs UMECIT 0-0
Mar 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 15 Sporting … vs San Franc… 0-1
Mar 09 Sporting … vs Independi… 4-0
Feb 27 Sporting … vs Veraguas 2-2
Feb 23 Sporting … vs Herrera 2-0
Feb 21 Sporting … vs Alianza FC 1-2
Alianza FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Alianza FC vs Tauro FC 1-0
Apr 13 Alianza FC vs Costa del… 0-1
Apr 06 Alianza FC vs Plaza Ama… 3-3
Mar 29 Alianza FC vs San Franc… 1-2
Mar 23 Alianza FC vs Herrera 2-2
Mar 18 Alianza FC vs Deportivo… 0-1
Mar 08 Alianza FC vs Veraguas 2-0
Feb 27 Alianza FC vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 25 Alianza FC vs UMECIT 0-0
Feb 21 Alianza FC vs Sporting … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Alianza FC 1 - 2 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting San Miguelito Power 0
Alianza FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sporting San Miguelito Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Alianza FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.