AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Mar 30, 2025

UMECIT

Home
VS
23:15

Sporting San Miguelito

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
UMECIT Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Sporting San Miguelito Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.56 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UMECIT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Sporting San Miguelito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
UMECIT Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 UMECIT vs Tauro FC 4-2
Mar 16 UMECIT vs Plaza Ama… 1-1
Mar 09 UMECIT vs CD Arabe … 0-1
Feb 27 UMECIT vs Costa del… 2-1
Feb 25 UMECIT vs Alianza FC 0-0
Feb 16 UMECIT vs Herrera 2-1
Feb 08 UMECIT vs Deportivo… 2-2
Feb 04 UMECIT vs San Franc… 0-2
Jan 26 UMECIT vs Veraguas 0-0
Jan 18 UMECIT vs Independi… 2-1
Sporting San Miguelito Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 15 Sporting … vs San Franc… 0-1
Mar 09 Sporting … vs Independi… 4-0
Feb 27 Sporting … vs Veraguas 2-2
Feb 23 Sporting … vs Herrera 2-0
Feb 21 Sporting … vs Alianza FC 1-2
Feb 15 Sporting … vs Tauro FC 1-0
Feb 08 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 2-1
Jan 25 Sporting … vs Costa del… 0-0
Jan 19 Sporting … vs Plaza Ama… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting San Miguelito struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 Sporting San Miguel… 1 - 1 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Feb 24, 2024 UMECIT 1 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Sep 03, 2023 UMECIT 0 - 1 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Mar 18, 2023 Sporting San Miguel… 0 - 0 UMECIT Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: UMECIT to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UMECIT Power 0
Sporting San Miguelito Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

UMECIT Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Sporting San Miguelito Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.