AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 21, 2025

Reboceros La Piedad

Home
VS
01:00

Leones Negros

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Reboceros La Piedad Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Leones Negros Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.01 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reboceros La Piedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Leones Negros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Reboceros La Piedad Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Reboceros… vs Los Cabos… 3-1
Sep 07 Reboceros… vs Tigres de… 0-2
Aug 30 Reboceros… vs Tritons V… 2-0
Aug 24 Reboceros… vs Tecos 2-3
Mar 08 Reboceros… vs Mineros d… 1-0
Feb 12 Reboceros… vs Leones Ne… 4-0
Dec 16 Reboceros… vs Mineros d… 4-2
Oct 17 Reboceros… vs Leones Ne… 0-1
Leones Negros Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Leones Ne… vs Reboceros… 4-0
Oct 17 Leones Ne… vs Reboceros… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Reboceros La Piedad struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 12, 2021 Reboceros La Piedad 4 - 0 Leones Negros Liga Premier S…
Oct 17, 2020 Leones Negros 0 - 1 Reboceros La Piedad Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Reboceros La Piedad to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 87
Reboceros La Piedad Power 0
Leones Negros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Reboceros La Piedad Position

-7

Position Gap

5

Leones Negros Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.