AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 21, 2025

Jaguares de Chiapas

Home
VS
01:00

Pioneros de Cancún

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Jaguares de Chiapas Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Pioneros de Cancún Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.75 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jaguares de Chiapas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Pioneros de Cancún Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Jaguares de Chiapas Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Jaguares … vs Montañeses 1-0
Aug 31 Jaguares … vs Inter Pla… 0-1
Pioneros de Cancún Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Pioneros … vs Montañeses 2-1
Sep 09 Pioneros … vs Inter Pla… 1-2
Aug 24 Pioneros … vs Celaya 3-1
Mar 02 Pioneros … vs Montañeses 3-1
Jan 28 Pioneros … vs Inter Pla… 0-1
Jan 12 Pioneros … vs Racing Po… 3-1
Oct 20 Pioneros … vs Montañeses 0-0
Sep 21 Pioneros … vs Inter Pla… 2-1
Sep 07 Pioneros … vs Racing Po… 1-0
Mar 31 Pioneros … vs Montañeses 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pioneros de Cancún in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jaguares de Chiapas Power 0
Pioneros de Cancún Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Jaguares de Chiapas Position

+2

Position Gap

7

Pioneros de Cancún Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.