AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 20, 2025

Mineros de Fresnillo

Home
VS
16:30

Guerreros

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Mineros de Fresnillo Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Guerreros Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.76 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mineros de Fresnillo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Guerreros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Mineros de Fresnillo Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Mineros d… vs UA Zacate… 1-4
Sep 06 Mineros d… vs Cimarrones 1-0
Aug 30 Mineros d… vs Ensenada 0-2
Aug 24 Mineros d… vs Atlante FC 2-2
Apr 12 Mineros d… vs UA Zacate… 0-2
Apr 02 Mineros d… vs UA Zacate… 2-6
Feb 18 Mineros d… vs Durango 4-2
Nov 30 Mineros d… vs UA Zacate… 2-0
Oct 27 Mineros d… vs UA Zacate… 2-3
Oct 11 Mineros d… vs Durango 2-2
Guerreros Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Guerreros vs Cimarrones 1-1
Sep 07 Guerreros vs Ensenada 1-0
Aug 31 Guerreros vs Atlante FC 3-1
Aug 23 Guerreros vs Durango 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mineros de Fresnillo struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mineros de Fresnillo Power 0
Guerreros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Mineros de Fresnillo Position

-1

Position Gap

8

Guerreros Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.