AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 20, 2025

Chilpancingo

Home
VS
18:00

Real Apodaca

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Chilpancingo Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Real Apodaca Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 0.53 - 1.30
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chilpancingo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Real Apodaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Chilpancingo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Chilpanci… vs Gavilanes… 1-0
Sep 06 Chilpanci… vs FC Santia… 3-0
Aug 30 Chilpanci… vs Zacatepec… 0-3
Aug 23 Chilpanci… vs Sporting … 1-2
Apr 05 Chilpanci… vs Sporting … 3-0
Mar 29 Chilpanci… vs Zacatepec… 0-1
Nov 23 Chilpanci… vs Sporting … 1-2
Nov 16 Chilpanci… vs Zacatepec… 1-3
Apr 13 Chilpanci… vs Ciervos 3-0
Mar 30 Chilpanci… vs FC Santia… 1-2
Real Apodaca Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Real Apod… vs FC Santia… 2-2
Sep 06 Real Apod… vs Zacatepec… 0-1
Aug 31 Real Apod… vs Sporting … 2-0
Aug 23 Real Apod… vs Ciervos 0-3
Apr 04 Real Apod… vs Correcami… 0-1
Nov 24 Real Apod… vs Correcami… 4-3
Apr 12 Real Apod… vs Correcami… 0-2
Mar 06 Real Apod… vs Calor de … 2-2
Nov 29 Real Apod… vs Correcami… 2-4
Oct 05 Real Apod… vs Calor de … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chilpancingo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Real Apodaca in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chilpancingo Power 0
Real Apodaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Chilpancingo Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Real Apodaca Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 88%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.