AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 20, 2025

Durango

Home
VS
02:00

Los Cabos United

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Durango Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Los Cabos United Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.78 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Durango Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Los Cabos United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Durango Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Durango vs Tigres de… 1-2
Sep 06 Durango vs Tritons V… 1-0
Aug 30 Durango vs Tecos 2-4
Aug 23 Durango vs Guerreros 5-0
Mar 23 Durango vs Tigres de… 1-3
Mar 01 Durango vs Tecos 0-0
Feb 18 Durango vs Mineros d… 4-2
Jan 11 Durango vs Tritons V… 0-1
Nov 09 Durango vs Tigres de… 1-1
Oct 20 Durango vs Tecos 4-0
Los Cabos United Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Los Cabos… vs Reboceros… 3-1
Sep 06 Los Cabos… vs Colima 1-5
Aug 31 Los Cabos… vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Aug 23 Los Cabos… vs UA Zacate… 1-2
Apr 12 Los Cabos… vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Mar 29 Los Cabos… vs Colima 0-0
Mar 08 Los Cabos… vs Tritons V… 0-0
Feb 22 Los Cabos… vs Tigres de… 3-2
Feb 20 Los Cabos… vs Leones Ne… 2-0
Jan 10 Los Cabos… vs Tecos 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Durango in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Los Cabos United in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Durango to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Durango Power 0
Los Cabos United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Durango Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Los Cabos United Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.