AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Sep 20, 2025

Cimarrones

Home
VS
02:00

Tecos

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Cimarrones Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Tecos Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.57 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cimarrones Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Tecos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Cimarrones Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Cimarrones vs Guerreros 1-1
Sep 06 Cimarrones vs Mineros dā€¦ 1-0
Sep 02 Cimarrones vs UA Zacateā€¦ 3-1
Aug 24 Cimarrones vs Ensenada 0-1
Apr 18 Cimarrones vs Alebrijesā€¦ 1-1
Apr 03 Cimarrones vs CA La Paz 2-1
Mar 28 Cimarrones vs Correcamiā€¦ 0-2
Mar 25 Cimarrones vs Celaya 0-1
Jan 05 Cimarrones vs Durango 0-4
Sep 22 Cimarrones vs Durango 5-0
Tecos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Tecos vs Ensenada 1-1
Sep 07 Tecos vs Atlante FC 0-2
Aug 30 Tecos vs Durango 2-4
Aug 24 Tecos vs Rebocerosā€¦ 2-3
Mar 01 Tecos vs Durango 0-0
Feb 21 Tecos vs Leones Neā€¦ 2-1
Jan 10 Tecos vs Los Cabosā€¦ 1-4
Nov 06 Tecos vs Los Cabosā€¦ 0-1
Oct 20 Tecos vs Durango 4-0
Oct 16 Tecos vs Leones Neā€¦ 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cimarrones in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cimarrones to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cimarrones Power 0
Tecos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Cimarrones Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Tecos Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.