AI Match Insights

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Primera División Sep 27, 2025

Universitario

Home
VS
23:00

Cusco

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Universitario Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cusco Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.40 - 0.29
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Cusco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 0-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Universitario Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Universit… vs UTC 1-2
Sep 14 Universit… vs FBC Melgar 1-2
Aug 24 Universit… vs Alianza L… 0-0
Aug 17 Universit… vs Sport Hua… 1-1
Aug 09 Universit… vs Sport Boys 1-0
Aug 05 Universit… vs Alianza U… 0-2
Aug 01 Universit… vs Atletico … 3-1
Jul 26 Universit… vs Cienciano 1-1
Jul 19 Universit… vs Comercian… 3-1
Jul 12 Universit… vs Cultural … 0-0
Cusco Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Cusco vs ADT 0-2
Sep 18 Cusco vs Ayacucho … 0-1
Sep 14 Cusco vs Sporting … 3-2
Aug 22 Cusco vs Juan Pabl… 0-0
Aug 17 Cusco vs Alianza A… 1-0
Aug 04 Cusco vs UTC 1-2
Jul 31 Cusco vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jul 27 Cusco vs FBC Melgar 0-2
Jul 19 Cusco vs Alianza L… 2-0
Jul 13 Cusco vs Sport Hua… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitario in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cusco in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2025 Cusco 2 - 0 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

PRO: Universitario to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitario Power 0
Cusco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitario Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Cusco Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.