AI Match Insights
Primera División Jun 21, 2025
Universitario
HomeVS
02:00
ADT
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Universitario Win
Draw
ADT Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
CS68+M80 (75.0%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
94%
Market
50%
Combined: 69%
Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
ADT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Universitario Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15 | Universit… vs Ayacucho … | 0-1 |
| May 23 | Universit… vs Sporting … | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Universit… vs Juan Pabl… | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Universit… vs Alianza A… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Universit… vs Cusco | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Universit… vs UTC | 6-0 |
| Apr 18 | Universit… vs Deportivo… | 1-3 |
| Apr 14 | Universit… vs FBC Melgar | 4-1 |
| Apr 06 | Universit… vs Alianza L… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Universit… vs Sport Hua… | 3-1 |
ADT Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 25 | ADT vs Ayacucho … | 0-1 |
| May 17 | ADT vs Sporting … | 2-1 |
| May 11 | ADT vs Juan Pabl… | 2-2 |
| May 04 | ADT vs Alianza A… | 2-0 |
| Apr 28 | ADT vs Cusco | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | ADT vs UTC | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | ADT vs Deportivo… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | ADT vs FBC Melgar | 4-0 |
| Mar 29 | ADT vs Alianza L… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | ADT vs Sport Hua… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Universitario struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- ADT struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Universitario | 2 - 1 | ADT | Primera Divisi… |
| May 03, 2024 | ADT | 2 - 0 | Universitario | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 16, 2023 | ADT | 2 - 0 | Universitario | Primera Divisi… |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Universitario | 3 - 1 | ADT | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 21, 2022 | ADT | 1 - 1 | Universitario | Primera Divisi… |
| Apr 05, 2022 | Universitario | 2 - 1 | ADT | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Universitario to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 16
Universitario Power
0
ADT Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Universitario Position+16
Position Gap18
ADT Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.