AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĂłn Mar 08, 2025
FBC Melgar
HomeVS
23:00
Sporting Cristal
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FBC Melgar Win
Draw
Sporting Cristal Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.77 - 0.50
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FBC Melgar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Sporting Cristal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
86%
FBC Melgar Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 03 | FBC Melgar vs Deportivo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | FBC Melgar vs Sport Hua… | 2-4 |
| Oct 22 | FBC Melgar vs UTC | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys | 0-2 |
| Sep 29 | FBC Melgar vs Alianza L… | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | FBC Melgar vs Atletico … | 0-0 |
| Aug 26 | FBC Melgar vs Cienciano | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | FBC Melgar vs Cienciano | 2-0 |
| Sep 10 | FBC Melgar vs Cienciano | 0-1 |
| Apr 15 | FBC Melgar vs Cienciano | 1-0 |
Sporting Cristal Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 02 | Sporting … vs Alianza L… | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Sporting … vs Comercian… | 3-0 |
| Oct 27 | Sporting … vs Union Com… | 0-12 |
| Oct 24 | Sporting … vs Universit… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Sporting … vs Alianza A… | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Sporting … vs César Val… | 4-1 |
| Sep 22 | Sporting … vs Cusco | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Sporting … vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Jul 27 | Sporting … vs Cienciano | 5-1 |
| Apr 21 | Sporting … vs Cusco | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FBC Melgar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Sporting Cristal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FBC Melgar to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FBC Melgar Power
0
Sporting Cristal Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
FBC Melgar Position+9
Position Gap10
Sporting Cristal Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.