AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 27, 2025

Shan United

Home
VS
09:00

Ayeyawady United

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Shan United Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Ayeyawady United Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 0.73 - 1.04
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shan United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Ayeyawady United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Shan United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Shan Unit… vs Yadanarbon 0-0
Sep 14 Shan Unit… vs Rakhine U… 3-0
Aug 26 Shan Unit… vs Dagon Port 0-3
Aug 21 Shan Unit… vs Svay Rieng 0-3
Aug 15 Shan Unit… vs Ezra 1-0
Aug 09 Shan Unit… vs Ezra 1-2
Feb 11 Shan Unit… vs I.S.P.E 0-5
Feb 01 Shan Unit… vs Yangon Un… 0-0
Jan 22 Shan Unit… vs Bangkok G… 1-4
Jan 18 Shan Unit… vs Yangon Un… 0-1
Ayeyawady United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Ayeyawady… vs Dagon Port 0-4
Sep 14 Ayeyawady… vs Dagon 2-1
Aug 23 Ayeyawady… vs I.S.P.E 3-0
Aug 15 Ayeyawady… vs Yarmanya … 0-1
Feb 28 Ayeyawady… vs Yangon Un… 2-1
Feb 24 Ayeyawady… vs Rakhine U… 1-2
Feb 17 Ayeyawady… vs Yangon Un… 0-4
Feb 08 Ayeyawady… vs Hantharwa… 0-2
Jan 20 Ayeyawady… vs Thitsar A… 0-1
Jan 13 Ayeyawady… vs I.S.P.E 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shan United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ayeyawady United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shan United to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shan United Power 0
Ayeyawady United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Shan United Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Ayeyawady United Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.