AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 19, 2025

Hantharwady United

Home
VS
09:00

Yarmanya United

Away
AI Predictions 57.7% Confidence
Hantharwady United Win
57.7%
Draw
22.5%
Yarmanya United Win
19.9%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.46 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hantharwady United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Yarmanya United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Hantharwady United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Hantharwa… vs Dagon Port 5-4
Aug 24 Hantharwa… vs Thitsar A… 0-0
Aug 16 Hantharwa… vs Rakhine U… 1-2
Mar 01 Hantharwa… vs Sepahan FC 4-0
Feb 16 Hantharwa… vs I.S.P.E 0-0
Feb 08 Hantharwa… vs Ayeyawady… 0-2
Jan 28 Hantharwa… vs Dagon Port 1-2
Jan 21 Hantharwa… vs Yangon Un… 1-1
Jan 12 Hantharwa… vs Yadanarbon 1-2
Oct 19 Hantharwa… vs Sagaing U… 3-2
Yarmanya United Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Yarmanya … vs Sagaing U… 0-0
Aug 24 Yarmanya … vs Dagon 1-5
Aug 15 Yarmanya … vs Ayeyawady… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hantharwady United to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hantharwady United Power 0
Yarmanya United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Hantharwady United Position

+8

Position Gap

12

Yarmanya United Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.