AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Meistriliiga Sep 21, 2025

Vaprus

Home
VS
14:00

Tallinna Kalev

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Vaprus Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Tallinna Kalev Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 4.50 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Vaprus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Vaprus Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Vaprus vs Tammeka 1-4
Sep 13 Vaprus vs FC Tallinn 3-0
Aug 30 Vaprus vs Paide 1-0
Aug 22 Vaprus vs FC Levadia 1-3
Aug 15 Vaprus vs Tammeka 8-1
Aug 10 Vaprus vs Kalju Nõm… 1-2
Aug 05 Vaprus vs Tallinna … 0-2
Jul 30 Vaprus vs Tulevik 13-0
Jul 25 Vaprus vs Laagri 2-2
Jul 20 Vaprus vs Kuressaare 2-1
Tallinna Kalev Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Tallinna … vs Paide 0-3
Sep 14 Tallinna … vs Kuressaare 2-1
Aug 30 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 0-4
Aug 23 Tallinna … vs Transvaal 2-0
Aug 17 Tallinna … vs FC Levadia 1-6
Aug 09 Tallinna … vs Paide 2-2
Aug 05 Tallinna … vs Vaprus 0-2
Jul 20 Tallinna … vs Kalju Nõm… 6-2
Jul 13 Tallinna … vs Laagri 3-1
Jul 06 Tallinna … vs Tammeka 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vaprus in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 0 - 2 Vaprus Meistriliiga
Jun 14, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 0 - 3 Vaprus Meistriliiga
Apr 13, 2025 Vaprus 2 - 2 Tallinna Kalev Meistriliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vaprus to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vaprus Power 0
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.