AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Meistriliiga Sep 14, 2025

Kuressaare

Home
VS
11:30

Tallinna Kalev

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Kuressaare Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tallinna Kalev Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.28 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kuressaare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Kuressaare Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Kuressaare vs Kalju Nõm… 2-0
Aug 24 Kuressaare vs FC Tallinn 1-2
Aug 16 Kuressaare vs Paide 5-1
Aug 09 Kuressaare vs Laagri 1-3
Aug 01 Kuressaare vs FC Levadia 2-0
Jul 20 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 2-1
Jul 11 Kuressaare vs Tammeka 0-2
Jul 05 Kuressaare vs Transvaal 3-2
Jun 29 Kuressaare vs Laagri 1-1
Jun 17 Kuressaare vs Tammeka 2-3
Tallinna Kalev Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 0-4
Aug 23 Tallinna … vs Transvaal 2-0
Aug 17 Tallinna … vs FC Levadia 1-6
Aug 09 Tallinna … vs Paide 2-2
Aug 05 Tallinna … vs Vaprus 0-2
Jul 20 Tallinna … vs Kalju Nõm… 6-2
Jul 13 Tallinna … vs Laagri 3-1
Jul 06 Tallinna … vs Tammeka 3-2
Jun 29 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 3-1
Jun 18 Tallinna … vs FC Levadia 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kuressaare struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 10, 2025 Kuressaare 2 - 0 Tallinna Kalev Meistriliiga
Apr 05, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 4 - 1 Kuressaare Meistriliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kuressaare to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kuressaare Power 0
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.