AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Meistriliiga May 10, 2025

Kuressaare

Home
VS
11:30

Tallinna Kalev

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Kuressaare Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Tallinna Kalev Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.57 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kuressaare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Kuressaare Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Kuressaare vs Paide 1-1
Apr 27 Kuressaare vs Transvaal 2-1
Apr 22 Kuressaare vs Tammeka 1-0
Apr 18 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 1-0
Apr 12 Kuressaare vs Kalju Nõm… 0-2
Apr 08 Kuressaare vs FC Levadia 2-1
Apr 05 Kuressaare vs Tallinna … 4-1
Mar 29 Kuressaare vs FC Tallinn 5-0
Mar 16 Kuressaare vs Laagri 1-2
Mar 08 Kuressaare vs Transvaal 0-2
Tallinna Kalev Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Tallinna … vs Laagri 1-3
Apr 26 Tallinna … vs Paide 1-0
Apr 22 Tallinna … vs Kalju Nõm… 6-1
Apr 19 Tallinna … vs FC Levadia 0-9
Apr 13 Tallinna … vs Vaprus 2-2
Apr 08 Tallinna … vs Transvaal 1-0
Apr 05 Tallinna … vs Kuressaare 4-1
Mar 30 Tallinna … vs Paide 5-0
Mar 15 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 0-4
Mar 09 Tallinna … vs Laagri 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 4 - 1 Kuressaare Meistriliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kuressaare to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kuressaare Power 0
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.