AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Meistriliiga Apr 13, 2025

Vaprus

Home
VS
11:30

Tallinna Kalev

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Vaprus Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Tallinna Kalev Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.01 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vaprus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Vaprus Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Vaprus vs Paide 1-0
Apr 05 Vaprus vs Laagri 1-1
Mar 29 Vaprus vs Tammeka 0-5
Mar 15 Vaprus vs FC Levadia 1-2
Mar 08 Vaprus vs FC Tallinn 0-1
Mar 01 Vaprus vs Kalju Nõm… 0-3
Feb 01 Vaprus vs Kuressaare 0-2
Oct 06 Vaprus vs Kuressaare 3-1
Jul 28 Vaprus vs Kuressaare 1-1
May 28 Vaprus vs Kuressaare 2-2
Tallinna Kalev Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Tallinna … vs Transvaal 1-0
Apr 05 Tallinna … vs Kuressaare 4-1
Mar 30 Tallinna … vs Paide 5-0
Mar 15 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 0-4
Mar 09 Tallinna … vs Laagri 2-0
Mar 02 Tallinna … vs Tammeka 1-2
Jan 29 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 4-1
Nov 30 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-0
Nov 24 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-1
Feb 04 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vaprus to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vaprus Power 0
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.