AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Meistriliiga Apr 05, 2025

Tallinna Kalev

Home
VS
16:00

Kuressaare

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tallinna Kalev Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kuressaare Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.32 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Kuressaare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Tallinna Kalev Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Tallinna … vs Paide 5-0
Mar 15 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 0-4
Mar 09 Tallinna … vs Laagri 2-0
Mar 02 Tallinna … vs Tammeka 1-2
Jan 29 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 4-1
Nov 30 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-0
Nov 24 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-1
Feb 04 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 1-1
Kuressaare Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Kuressaare vs FC Tallinn 5-0
Mar 16 Kuressaare vs Laagri 1-2
Mar 08 Kuressaare vs Transvaal 0-2
Mar 02 Kuressaare vs Paide 1-2
Feb 01 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 0-2
Oct 06 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 3-1
Jul 28 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 1-1
May 28 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 2-2
Mar 17 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Kuressaare struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tallinna Kalev to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Kuressaare Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.