AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Sep 27, 2025

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem

Home
VS
16:30

Maccabi Netanya

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
Maccabi Netanya Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Maccabi Netanya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Sep 14 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Be… 1-5
Aug 30 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Ha… 2-1
Aug 23 Hapoel Ka… vs Ashdod 1-2
Aug 17 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Aug 09 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi H… 4-0
Jul 26 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Pe… 1-0
Jul 22 Hapoel Ka… vs Ashdod 1-2
May 03 Hapoel Ka… vs Ironi Tib… 3-1
May 02 Hapoel Ka… vs Bnei Yehu… 0-4
Maccabi Netanya Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Maccabi N… vs Ironi Tib… 5-2
Sep 13 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Pe… 3-1
Aug 31 Maccabi N… vs Maccabi T… 4-0
Aug 24 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Be… 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Maccabi Netanya struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Power 0
Maccabi Netanya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Maccabi Netanya Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.