AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Femenil Sep 13, 2025

Toluca Women

Home
VS
00:00

Monterrey Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Toluca Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Monterrey Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.44 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Monterrey Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Toluca Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Toluca Wo… vs Pumas UNA… 1-2
Aug 31 Toluca Wo… vs Querétaro… 2-0
Aug 26 Toluca Wo… vs Cruz Azul… 5-3
Aug 18 Toluca Wo… vs Juárez Wo… 0-0
Aug 14 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Aug 10 Toluca Wo… vs León Women 1-0
Aug 05 Toluca Wo… vs Pachuca W… 1-2
Jul 25 Toluca Wo… vs Tijuana W… 1-3
Jul 19 Toluca Wo… vs Santos La… 1-0
Jul 14 Toluca Wo… vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Monterrey Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 08 Monterrey… vs Tigres UA… 4-0
Aug 30 Monterrey… vs Juárez Wo… 1-1
Aug 27 Monterrey… vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Aug 17 Monterrey… vs Santos La… 3-1
Aug 12 Monterrey… vs Cruz Azul… 4-0
Aug 09 Monterrey… vs Mazatlán … 5-0
Aug 03 Monterrey… vs Puebla Wo… 0-5
Jul 26 Monterrey… vs Querétaro… 4-2
Jul 22 Monterrey… vs Atlético … 0-3
Jul 13 Monterrey… vs Pumas UNA… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toluca Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Toluca Women 2 - 2 Monterrey Women Liga MX Femenil
Apr 19, 2024 Monterrey Women 1 - 0 Toluca Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Toluca Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Women Power 0
Monterrey Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Toluca Women Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Monterrey Women Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.